Live · Reported · 11/14/2026 17:18

GTA 6 sales forecast: Newzoo sees $3.25 to $5.2 billion in launch week

Newzoo, as reported by Coinpaper, estimates GTA 6 could generate $3.25 billion to $5.2 billion in player spending by the end of launch week on November 19.

Sources coinpaper.com · phonandroid.com

J-5 GTA 6 releases in 5 days →

How much will GTA 6 earn in its first seven days? Research firm Newzoo gives a range of $3.25 billion to $5.2 billion in cumulative consumer spending by the end of launch week, with a central scenario near $4.5 billion, according to Coinpaper. These are analyst projections, not figures from Rockstar or Take-Two.

GTA 6 sales forecast: Newzoo sees $3.25 to $5.2 billion in launch week
Image: blog.omggamer.com

What is the forecast based on?

The model assumes about 51 million copies sold by the end of the first week at an average price of $88, pre-orders included. A cautious scenario drops to about 37 million units and $3.3 billion. The game launches on November 19, 2026 at $79.99 standard and $99.99 Ultimate, as listed on our price page.

What do other estimates say?

According to PhonAndroid, BMO Capital Markets analyst Brian Pitz expects 55 million copies in fiscal 2027, while Circana's Mat Piscatella calls it an "exceptional case in every respect". Sensor Tower already counted more than 12 million digital pre-orders, which we covered in our November 13 article.

For scale, Coinpaper recalls that GTA V passed $800 million in retail sales within 24 hours in 2013, then $1 billion in three days, and is now close to 235 million copies sold.

Read also GTA V sold 150,000 copies in 13 days of November, ahead of GTA 6

Revenue or profit?

Coinpaper stresses the gap: $4.5 billion spent by players does not all reach Take-Two. Platform fees, payments, taxes and marketing cut into it. The piece gives a hypothetical 30% fee, leaving roughly $3.15 billion before other costs, and says plainly this is not Rockstar's actual deal, which is not public. Take-Two itself guided $8 billion to $8.2 billion in net bookings for fiscal 2027, including $3.35 billion to $3.5 billion in the launch quarter, across its whole portfolio and not only GTA 6.

Why it matters

Nothing changes for players in the short term, but these numbers set the bar: financial press will judge the launch against these ranges. We also follow bank estimates such as Citi's on Rockstar's next games. Real figures will only come after November 19, and only if Rockstar chooses to publish them.

Sources coinpaper.com · phonandroid.com

Reported Reported by the press, not confirmed by Rockstar

By Solange Rocheval · GTAVIFRANCE newsroom

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